Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001269 0.001376 0.001491 0.001623 0.001772 0.001936 0.002131
2025-11-30 0.001123 0.001264 0.001425 0.001621 0.001857 0.002135 0.002491
2025-12-07 0.001012 0.001168 0.001351 0.001583 0.001876 0.002238 0.002728
2025-12-14 0.000936 0.001102 0.001302 0.001564 0.001906 0.002348 0.002976
2025-12-21 0.000866 0.001035 0.001244 0.001525 0.001903 0.002407 0.003157
2025-12-28 0.000783 0.000945 0.001149 0.001428 0.001812 0.002338 0.003143
2026-01-04 0.000724 0.000884 0.001086 0.001369 0.001765 0.002322 0.003202
2026-01-11 0.000688 0.000848 0.001054 0.001348 0.001769 0.002375 0.003368
2026-01-18 0.000660 0.000822 0.001033 0.001340 0.001789 0.002454 0.003581
2026-01-25 0.000725 0.000922 0.001189 0.001591 0.002211 0.003188 0.004989
2026-02-01 0.000680 0.000870 0.001130 0.001525 0.002144 0.003138 0.005017
2026-02-08 0.000644 0.000829 0.001085 0.001478 0.002102 0.003124 0.005110
2026-02-15 0.000627 0.000817 0.001084 0.001504 0.002192 0.003361 0.005764
2026-02-22 0.000603 0.000794 0.001066 0.001503 0.002236 0.003528 0.006321
2026-03-01 0.000573 0.000759 0.001029 0.001469 0.002221 0.003584 0.006655
2026-03-08 0.000549 0.000734 0.001004 0.001451 0.002233 0.003691 0.007124
2026-03-15 0.000523 0.000704 0.000969 0.001416 0.002210 0.003724 0.007429
2026-03-22 0.000486 0.000656 0.000906 0.001328 0.002084 0.003541 0.007157
2026-03-29 0.000460 0.000622 0.000864 0.001275 0.002017 0.003470 0.007164
2026-04-05 0.000443 0.000603 0.000843 0.001256 0.002014 0.003530 0.007531
2026-04-12 0.000430 0.000589 0.000830 0.001249 0.002032 0.003638 0.008062
2026-04-19 0.000468 0.000654 0.000945 0.001475 0.002532 0.004915 0.012669
2026-04-26 0.000444 0.000623 0.000903 0.001416 0.002446 0.004796 0.012605